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AI and Machine Learning to extend Meteo-Marine Station Observations into the Future

  • Joel Azzopardi

The real-time availability of data from coastal meteo-marine stations is crucial for various stakeholders, including port authorities, government agencies, researchers, and the general public. While observation data is fundamental, short-term forecasts can significantly enhance planning and decision-making processes. This study explores the application of Machine Learning (ML) techniques to predict hourly values of air temperature, wind speed, atmospheric pressure, and humidity for the next 24 hours. We evaluate three ML models: Long Short-Term Memory Network (LSTM), Random Forest (RF), and Multivariate Linear Regression (LR). The models were trained using Python libraries and Optuna for hyperparameter tuning on datasets of varying lengths from stations in the Malta-Sicily channel. Additionally, we investigated transfer learning with the ERA5 dataset, which provides hourly values over an 83-year period, to address the challenge of limited data availability. The results show that models trained on longer datasets generally achieve better performance. Furthermore, the models demonstrated considerable generalizability, particularly across nearby stations, allowing models trained at one station to be effectively used for predictions at other proximate stations. To support further research and practical application, we have made our models and tools publicly available.

  • Keywords:
  • Machine Learning,
  • Artificial Intelligence,
  • Transfer Learning,
  • Meteorology,
  • Prediction,
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Joel Azzopardi

University of Malta, Malta - ORCID: 0000-0001-6709-8530

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  • Publication Year: 2024
  • Pages: 846-857

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  • Publication Year: 2024

Chapter Information

Chapter Title

AI and Machine Learning to extend Meteo-Marine Station Observations into the Future

Authors

Joel Azzopardi

Language

Italian

DOI

10.36253/979-12-215-0556-6.73

Peer Reviewed

Publication Year

2024

Copyright Information

© 2024 Author(s)

Content License

CC BY-NC-SA 4.0

Metadata License

CC0 1.0

Bibliographic Information

Book Title

Tenth International Symposium Monitoring of Mediterranean Coastal Areas: Problems and Measurement Techniques

Book Subtitle

Livorno (Italy) 11th-13th June 2024

Editors

Laura Bonora, Marcantonio Catelani, Matteo De Vincenzi, Giorgio Matteucci

Peer Reviewed

Publication Year

2024

Copyright Information

© 2024 Author(s)

Content License

CC BY-NC-SA 4.0

Metadata License

CC0 1.0

Publisher Name

Firenze University Press

DOI

10.36253/979-12-215-0556-6

eISBN (pdf)

979-12-215-0556-6

eISBN (xml)

979-12-215-0557-3

Series Title

Monitoring of Mediterranean Coastal Areas: Problems and Measurement Techniques

Series E-ISSN

2975-0288

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