- ASA 2022 Data-Driven Decision Making
- Edited by Enrico di Bella, Luigi Fabbris, Corrado Lagazio
Ammonia emissions and fine particulate matter: some evidence in Lombardy
- Alessandro Fusta Moro
- Matteo Salis
- Andrea Zucchi
- Michela Cameletti
- Natalia Golini
- Rosaria Ignaccolo
- © 2023 Author(s) |
- CC BY 4.0
- DOI: 10.36253/979-12-215-0106-3.40
Lombardy is one of the most polluted regions at the European level, also due to its particular geographical structure and weather conditions which prevent the pollutants’ dispersion, and the high levels of emissions coming from human activities. Recently, some evidence has been found regarding the relationship between agriculture and air quality, particularly between ammonia - produced mainly by the livestock sector - and particulate matter concentrations. In this respect, Lombardy is the first Italian region for agriculture production, having 69% of its area classified as agricultural land and about 245 swine and 92 bovines per rural km2. In the Agriculture Impact On Italian Air project (AgrImOnIA, https://agrimonia.net, funded by Fondazione Cariplo within the framework of Data Science for science and society), we aim to predict continuously in space (i.e. mapping) air pollutants concentrations in Lombardy region, taking into account meteorology, land use and emissions coming from agriculture. In this regard, data integration and harmonization process have been carried out starting from data from different sources and characterized by different spatial and temporal resolutions. The first results are based on spatio-temporal Kriging models, with external drift, and an extension of the traditional random forest algorithm to consider the spatial and temporal correlation. These models will be used to generate scenario analysis which simulates the impact of policy interventions in the agricultural sector to mitigate its environmental impact on air quality.
- Keywords:
- Spatio-temporal Kriging,
- Random Forest,
- Predictive modeling,
- Air quality,
- Agriculture emissions,
University of Turin, Italy - ORCID: 0000-0003-1129-5038
University of Turin, Italy
University of Turin, Italy
University of Bergamo, Italy - ORCID: 0000-0002-6502-7779
University of Turin, Italy - ORCID: 0000-0003-4457-5781
University of Turin, Italy - ORCID: 0000-0003-2998-1714
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Chapter Information
Chapter Title
Ammonia emissions and fine particulate matter: some evidence in Lombardy
Authors
Alessandro Fusta Moro, Matteo Salis, Andrea Zucchi, Michela Cameletti, Natalia Golini, Rosaria Ignaccolo
Language
English
DOI
10.36253/979-12-215-0106-3.40
Peer Reviewed
Publication Year
2023
Copyright Information
© 2023 Author(s)
Content License
Metadata License
Bibliographic Information
Book Title
ASA 2022 Data-Driven Decision Making
Book Subtitle
Book of short papers
Editors
Enrico di Bella, Luigi Fabbris, Corrado Lagazio
Peer Reviewed
Publication Year
2023
Copyright Information
© 2023 Author(s)
Content License
Metadata License
Publisher Name
Firenze University Press, Genova University Press
DOI
10.36253/979-12-215-0106-3
eISBN (pdf)
979-12-215-0106-3
eISBN (xml)
979-12-215-0107-0
Series Title
Proceedings e report
Series ISSN
2704-601X
Series E-ISSN
2704-5846